NASCAR Picks: NASCAR Cup Series Quaker State 400 Presented by Walmart at Atlanta Best Bets, Odds to Consider at DraftKings Sportsbook

It’s a chainring race weekend, so keep your fingers crossed and have fun. This could be the best weekend of the year to place a remote bet. As always, trust the spreadsheet but also trust your eyes. These are the best bets for the NASCAR Cup Series Quaker State 400 Presented by Walmart in Atlanta, which begins on Sunday, July 10 at 3 pm ET.


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Atlanta is a license plate track. Discard any data prior to the 2022 season. Atlanta, Daytona and Talladega are plate tracks. Although NASCAR no longer mandates restriction plates, the limited power and high camber create racing and drafting. This in turn creates shipwrecks, many, many shipwrecks.

Atlanta is a new variation on the old acquaintance. It’s plate racing, but it’s the wildest product of plate racing in years. The last time plate racing was this volatile was in 2016. All four races that season were absolute crash fests. Cars were a handful, and in later seasons NASCAR adjusted the track plate package to lessen volatility. Atlanta is volatile. Countless drivers spoke of how out of control the cars were. Multiple leaders spun, blew out tires and collided. The wreckage on the back of the backpack is nothing. The wrecks in the middle are something. The wrecks out front are crazy.

Drivers may have noticed. In stage 3 of the spring race, they were in single file. They could have done it in the first lap, but they didn’t. They could do it in the first round on Sunday, but they won’t. The track will be hotter and more slippery. There are good reasons to be cautious, but this is a summer plate race with possibly one of the final playoff berths at stake. Summer Daytona is notorious, so why should Atlanta be any different?

The image must be clear. The plan this week is to back up the long shots. Go big or go home. Even the favorites put in decent returns, but with this race looking like an absolute rubbish fire, why not try catching lightning in a bottle? Michael McDowell won 100-1 at the 2021 Daytona 500. This could be a repeat of that event with even more mayhem.

Race Winner: Quaker State 400 Presented by Walmart

Chase Briscoe +2500 — He’s not a home plate track winner, but he’s been one of the most consistent finishers since his debut last season.

Aric Almirola +3000 — These are pretty good odds for a two-time winner at the plate track. He went Super Saiyan at Talladega by recording eight consecutive top 10 finishes between 2016 and 2020.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +3500 — Also a two-time plate winner, he was fighting for the lead on lap 201 when he crashed in the March race at Atlanta.

Michael McDowell +3500 — Front Row Motorsports has always built great plate cars and has two wins to prove it. One of those wins was McDowell in the 2021 Daytona 500.

Brad Keselowski +4000 — Roush Yachts motors can win at plate tracks. Stenhouse did, and Newman came close several times. BK has the talent, he just needs luck.

Corey Lajoie +25000 — It’s not uncommon for Lajoie to get a top 5 finish in a plate race, but can he take the next step?

Ty Dillon +25000 — It’s not uncommon for Dillon to get a top 10 finish in a plate race, but can he make the jump to victory lane?

Todd Gilliand +25000 — The rookie has been in enough truck racing to know what he’s doing. Front Row Motorsports will give you the car, you just have to keep it clean.


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Pole Winner: Quaker State 400 Presented by Walmart

Alex Bowman +2000 to win pole — Hendrick consistently wins poles at Daytona and Talladega. With one race under their belt, the engineers have likely mastered the trimmed-down setup needed to grab pole.

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All betting odds provided by Draft Kings sports betting and all odds are subject to change.


I’m a promoter at DraftKings and I’m also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and sometimes I can play on my personal account in the games I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal opinion on the above games and strategies, they do not necessarily reflect the opinion(s) of DraftKings. and they do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All clients must use their own skill and judgment in creating lineups. I can also implement different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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